Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.012939 0.015056 0.017397 0.020172 0.023372 0.026944 0.031232
2025-12-28 0.010167 0.013001 0.016421 0.020845 0.026407 0.033160 0.041976
2026-01-04 0.008152 0.011315 0.015436 0.021179 0.028956 0.039100 0.053316
2026-01-11 0.006379 0.009529 0.013921 0.020462 0.029919 0.043055 0.062642
2026-01-18 0.005215 0.008319 0.012921 0.020191 0.031331 0.047688 0.073443
2026-01-25 0.004264 0.007226 0.011867 0.019605 0.032103 0.051397 0.083305
2026-02-01 0.003566 0.006389 0.011046 0.019201 0.033019 0.055346 0.093948
2026-02-08 0.003050 0.005754 0.010430 0.018999 0.034176 0.059740 0.105773
2026-02-15 0.002586 0.005122 0.009711 0.018488 0.034692 0.063075 0.116161
2026-02-22 0.002374 0.004918 0.009711 0.019242 0.037510 0.070655 0.134802
2026-03-01 0.002097 0.004536 0.009318 0.019193 0.038820 0.075664 0.149353
2026-03-08 0.001789 0.004040 0.008628 0.018459 0.038704 0.077985 0.159096
2026-03-15 0.001572 0.003702 0.008214 0.018239 0.039613 0.082446 0.173689
2026-03-22 0.001487 0.003642 0.008370 0.019229 0.043129 0.092458 0.200566
2026-03-29 0.001372 0.003493 0.008309 0.019742 0.045705 0.100865 0.225161
2026-04-05 0.001195 0.003165 0.007800 0.019176 0.045843 0.104189 0.239412
2026-04-12 0.001066 0.002931 0.007471 0.018976 0.046770 0.109299 0.258128
2026-04-19 0.000935 0.002669 0.007034 0.018451 0.046867 0.112570 0.273105
2026-04-26 0.000830 0.002455 0.006684 0.018083 0.047283 0.116601 0.290273
2026-05-03 0.000746 0.002287 0.006422 0.017900 0.048121 0.121694 0.310501
2026-05-10 0.000660 0.002094 0.006067 0.017421 0.048144 0.124836 0.326380
2026-05-17 0.000631 0.002065 0.006151 0.018135 0.051359 0.136150 0.363716
2026-05-24 0.000576 0.001948 0.005970 0.018090 0.052545 0.142517 0.389288